Chidzidzo chitsva chinotungamirwa neBarcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), sangano rinotsigirwa ne "la Caixa" Foundation, inopa humbowo hwakasimba hwekuti COVID-19 hutachiona hwemwaka hwakabatana nekudzikira uye hunyoro, senge furuwenza yemwaka.Mhedzisiro, yakaburitswa muNature Computational Sayenzi, inotsigirawo mupiro wakakura wekufambiswa nemhepo SARS-CoV-2 uye kukosha kwekuchinja kune matanho anosimudzira "hutsanana hwemhepo."
Chikwata chakabva chaongorora kuti kushamwaridzana uku pakati pemamiriro ekunze nechirwere kwakavapo sei nekufamba kwenguva, uye kana zvaienderana pazviyero zvakasiyana zvenzvimbo.Nokuda kweizvi, vakashandisa nzira yenhamba iyo yakanyatsogadzirwa kuti ione maitiro akafanana ekusiyana (kureva pateni-recognition tool) pamahwindo akasiyana enguva.Zvekare, vakawana hukama hwakasimba husina kunaka kwenguva pfupi mahwindo pakati pechirwere (nhamba yezviitiko) uye mamiriro ekunze (tembiricha uye hunyoro), aine maitiro anowirirana panguva yekutanga, yechipiri, uye yechitatu mafungu edenda munzvimbo dzakasiyana: pasirese, nyika. , kudzika kumatunhu ega ega mukati menyika dzakakanganisika zvakanyanya (Lombardy, Thüringen, neCatalonia) uye kunyangwe kusvika padanho reguta (Barcelona).
Mafungu edenda rekutanga akadzikira sezvo tembiricha nehunyoro hwaikwira, uye masaisai echipiri akakwira sezvo tembiricha nehunyoro hwakaderera.Zvisinei, nzira iyi yakaputsika munguva yezhizha mumakondinendi ose."Izvi zvinogona kutsanangurwa nezvinhu zvakati wandei, zvinosanganisira kuungana kwevanhu vechidiki, kushanya, uye mhepo, pakati pezvimwe," anotsanangura kudaro Alejandro Fontal, muongorori kuISGlobal uye wekutanga munyori wechidzidzo ichi.
Pakugadzirisa modhi kuti uongorore kuwirirana kwenguva pfupi pazvikero zvese munyika dziri kuSouthern Hemisphere, uko hutachiona hwakasvika gare gare, kuwirirana kumwe kwakashata kwakaonekwa.Mamiriro ekunze ainyanya kuoneka patembiricha iri pakati pe12ouye 18oC uye humidity mazinga ari pakati pe4 ne12 g/m3, kunyange zvazvo vanyori vachinyevera kuti mitsara iyi ichiri kuratidza, zvichipiwa zvinyorwa zvipfupi zviripo.
Pakupedzisira, vachishandisa epidemiological model, boka rekutsvagisa rakaratidza kuti kusanganisa tembiricha muyero yekutapurirana kunoshanda zvirinani kufanotaura kusimuka nekudonha kwemafungu akasiyana, kunyanya ekutanga nerechitatu muEurope."Pamwe chete, zvatakawana zvinotsigira maonero eCCIDID-19 sechirwere chechokwadi chemwaka wakadzika-tembiricha, chakafanana nefuruwenza uye nemakona anotenderera," anodaro Rodó.
Iyi mwaka inogona kubatsira zvakanyanya mukutapurirana kweSARS-CoV-2, sezvo hunyoro hwakadzikira hwakaratidzwa kudzikisa saizi yeaerosols, uye nekudaro kuwedzera kutapurirana nemhepo kwehutachiona hwemwaka sefuruwenza."Ichi chinongedzo chinopa kukoshesa 'hutsanana hwemhepo' kuburikidza nekuvandudza mhepo yemukati sezvo maaerosols anokwanisa kuramba akamiswa kwenguva yakareba," anodaro Rodó, uye anosimbisa kukosha kwekusanganisira meteorological parameter mukuongorora uye kuronga matanho ekudzora.
Mushure memakore makumi maviri ebudiriro, Holtop yaita basa rebhizinesi re "kuita kuti kurapwa kwemhepo kuve neutano, kugadzika uye kuchengetedza simba", uye yakagadzira hurongwa hwekugara kwenguva refu hwemaindasitiri hwakanangana nemhepo nyowani, mhepo inotonhorera uye nzvimbo dzekuchengetedza nharaunda.Mune ramangwana, isu ticharamba tichiomerera kune hutsva uye mhando, uye pamwe chete kutyaira kusimudzira kweindasitiri.
Reference: "Masiginecha emamiriro ekunze mune akasiyana COVID-19 denda mafungu kumativi ese ari maviri" naAlejandro Fontal, Menno J. Bouma, Adrià San-José, Leonardo López, Mercedes Pascual & Xavier Rodó, 21 Gumiguru 2021, Nature Computational Sayenzi.
Nguva yekutumira: Nov-16-2022