HE TAUNAKITANGA KAHA HE PĀNGA O TE WĀ TE COVID-19 – Ā, ME "TE ĀHUA O TE HAU"

He rangahau hou nā te Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), he whare wānanga e tautokona ana e te "la Caixa" Foundation, e whakaatu ana i ngā taunakitanga pakari ko te COVID-19 he mate urutā e pā ana ki te iti o te pāmahana me te haumākū, he rite tonu ki te rewharewha o te wā. Ko ngā hua, i whakaputaina i roto i te Nature Computational Science, e tautoko ana hoki i te takoha nui o te tuku mai o te SARS-CoV-2 mai i te rangi me te hiahia kia neke ki ngā mahi e whakatairanga ana i te "hauora o te hau."

kano ārai mate
kano ārai mate
Ko tētahi pātai matua mō te SARS-CoV-2 ko te āhua o tōna whanonga, te whanonga rānei, he rite ki te huaketo ā-wā pērā i te rewharewha, te āhua rānei ka horapa ōrite i ngā wā katoa o te tau. I kīia i roto i tētahi rangahau tauira ariā tuatahi, ehara te āhuarangi i te take o te horapa o te COVID-19, i te mea he nui te hunga ngoikore kāore he ārai mate ki te huaketo. Heoi, i kīia e ētahi kitenga ko te horapa tuatahi o te COVID-19 i Haina i puta i te whānui i waenga i te 30 me te 50.oN, me ngā taumata haumākū iti me ngā pāmahana iti (i waenga i te 5ome te 11āC).
"Ko te pātai mēnā he mate tūturu ā-wā te COVID-19 kei te piki haere te aro, me ngā pānga ki te whakatau i ngā mahi wawaotanga whai hua," te whakamārama a Xavier Rodó, te kaiwhakahaere o te kaupapa Āhuarangi me te Hauora i ISGlobal me te kaiwhakahaere o te rangahau. Hei whakautu i tēnei pātai, i tātarihia tuatahitia e Rodó me tana tīma te hononga o te pāmahana me te haumākū i te wāhanga tuatahi o te horapa o te SARS-CoV-2 i roto i ngā whenua 162 puta noa i ngā whenua e rima, i mua i te whakatinanatanga o ngā huringa o te whanonga tangata me ngā kaupapa here hauora tūmatanui. E whakaatu ana ngā hua i te whanaungatanga kino i waenga i te tere tuku (R0) me te pāmahana me te haumākū i te tauine ao: ko ngā tere tuku teitei ake i honoa ki ngā pāmahana me te haumākū iti iho.

Kātahi ka tātarihia e te tīma te whanaketanga o tēnei hononga i waenga i te āhuarangi me te mate i roto i te wā, me te mea he rite tonu i ngā tauine whenua rerekē. Mō tēnei, i whakamahia e rātou he tikanga tatauranga i whakawhanakehia motuhake hei tautuhi i ngā tauira rerekētanga rite (arā, he taputapu mōhio tauira) i ngā matapihi wā rerekē. I kitea anō e rātou he hononga kino kaha mō ngā matapihi wā poto i waenga i te mate (te maha o ngā take) me te āhuarangi (te pāmahana me te haumākū), me ngā tauira rite tonu i te wā tuatahi, tuarua, me te tuatoru o ngā ngaru o te mate urutā i ngā tauine wāhi rerekē: puta noa i te ao, ngā whenua, tae noa ki ngā rohe takitahi i roto i ngā whenua tino pāngia (Lombardy, Thüringen, me Catalonia) tae noa ki te taumata tāone (Barcelona).

I memeha haere ngā ngaru mate urutā tuatahi i te pikinga ake o te pāmahana me te haumākū, ā, i piki ake te ngaru tuarua i te hekenga iho o te pāmahana me te haumākū. Heoi, i pakaru tēnei tauira i te raumati i ngā whenua katoa. "Ka taea te whakamārama i tēnei e ētahi āhuatanga, tae atu ki ngā huihuinga nui o te hunga rangatahi, te tūruhi, me te hauhautanga, me ētahi atu," te whakamārama a Alejandro Fontal, kairangahau i ISGlobal me te kaituhi tuatahi o te rangahau.

I te wā i whakarerekētia ai te tauira hei tātari i ngā hononga rangitahi i ngā tauine katoa i ngā whenua o te Ao Tūroa ki te Tonga, te wāhi i tae mai ai te huaketo i muri mai, i kitea te hononga kino kotahi. I tino kitea ngā pānga o te āhuarangi i ngā pāmahana i waenga i te 12ome te 18oC me ngā taumata haumākū i waenga i te 4 me te 12 karamu/m3, ahakoa e whakatūpato ana ngā kaituhi he tohu noa iho ēnei awhe, i runga i ngā tuhinga poto e wātea ana.

Hei whakamutunga, mā te whakamahi i tētahi tauira mate urutā, i whakaatu te tīma rangahau he pai ake te whakauru i te pāmahana ki te tere tuku mō te matapae i te pikinga me te hekenga o ngā ngaru rerekē, inā koa ko te tuatahi me te tuatoru i Ūropi. "I te katoa, e tautoko ana ā mātou kitenga i te tirohanga o te COVID-19 hei mate pāmahana iti tūturu o te wā, he rite ki te rewharewha me ngā coronavirus e horapa ana, he pai ake," te kī a Rodó.

Tērā pea ka whai wāhi nui tēnei āhuatanga o te wā ki te horapa o te SARS-CoV-2, nā te mea kua whakaatuhia e ngā āhuatanga haumākū iti ka whakaiti i te rahi o ngā hauhautanga, ā, ka piki ake te horapa o ngā huaketo o te wā pēnei i te rewharewha i runga i te rangi. "Ko tēnei hononga e tika ana kia aro nui ki te 'hauora o te hau' mā te whakapai ake i te hauhautanga o roto i te mea ka taea e ngā hauhautanga te noho roa i runga i te rangi," te kī a Rodó, ā, e whakaatu ana i te hiahia kia whakaurua ngā tawhā huarere ki roto i te aromatawai me te whakamahere i ngā mahi whakahaere.

I muri i te 20 tau o te whanaketanga, kua whakatutukihia e Holtop te kaupapa matua o te "whakapai ake i te hauora, te whakamarie me te penapena hiko" o te maimoatanga hau, ā, kua whakatūria he whakatakotoranga ahumahi pumau mo te wā roa e aro ana ki te hau hou, te hauhautanga me te tiaki taiao. I ngā rā kei te heke mai, ka piri tonu mātou ki te auahatanga me te kounga, me te mahi tahi ki te akiaki i te whanaketanga o te ahumahi.

HOLTOP-HVAC

Tohutoro: "Nga waitohu huarere i roto i nga ngaru mate COVID-19 rereke puta noa i nga tuakoi e rua" na Alejandro Fontal, Menno J. Bouma, Adrià San-José, Leonardo López, Mercedes Pascual & Xavier Rodó, 21 Oketopa 2021, Nature Computational Science.


Wā tuku: Whiringa-ā-rangi 16-2022

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