NĀ HOʻOPIʻI IKAʻI ʻO COVID-19 HE MAʻI KĀWAI - A Pono mākou i ka "Maʻemaʻe Air"

ʻO kahi noiʻi hou i alakaʻi ʻia e ka Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), kahi ʻoihana i kākoʻo ʻia e "la Caixa" Foundation, e hāʻawi i nā hōʻike paʻa ʻo COVID-19 he maʻi maʻi kau i hoʻopili ʻia i nā haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa a me ka haʻahaʻa, e like me ka maʻi maʻi kau.ʻO nā hopena, i paʻi ʻia ma Nature Computational Science, kākoʻo pū i ka hāʻawi nui ʻana o ka hoʻouna ʻana o SARS-CoV-2 a me ka pono e neʻe i nā hana e hāpai i ka "hoʻomaʻemaʻe ea."

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ʻO kahi nīnau koʻikoʻi e pili ana iā SARS-CoV-2 ʻo ia ke ʻano, a i ʻole e ʻano, e like me ka maʻi maʻi maʻi e like me ka influenza, a i ʻole e hoʻoili like ʻia i kēlā me kēia manawa o ka makahiki.Ua hōʻike ʻia kahi noiʻi kumu hoʻohālike mua ʻaʻole ʻo ke aniau he mea hoʻokele i ka hoʻouna ʻana o COVID-19, i hāʻawi ʻia i ka helu kiʻekiʻe o nā poʻe maʻi me ka pale ʻole i ka maʻi.Eia nō naʻe, ua manaʻo kekahi mau ʻike i ka hoʻolaha mua ʻana o COVID-19 ma Kina i kahi latitude ma waena o 30 a 50.oN, me nā pae haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa a me nā mahana haʻahaʻa (ma waena o 5oa me 11oC).
"ʻO ka nīnau inā he maʻi maʻi maoli ka COVID-19 e lilo i kikowaena, me nā manaʻo no ka hoʻoholo ʻana i nā hana wawao kūpono," wehewehe ʻo Xavier Rodó, ka luna o ka papahana Climate and Health ma ISGlobal a me ka mea hoʻonohonoho o ka noiʻi.No ka pane ʻana i kēia nīnau, ua loiloi mua ʻo Rodó a me kāna hui i ka hui ʻana o ka mahana a me ka haʻahaʻa i ka pae mua o SARS-CoV-2 i hoʻolaha ʻia ma 162 mau ʻāina ma nā ʻāina ʻelima, ma mua o ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke ʻano kanaka a me nā kulekele olakino olakino.Hōʻike nā hualoaʻa i kahi pilina maikaʻi ʻole ma waena o ka helu hoʻouna (R0) a me ka mahana a me ka haʻahaʻa ma ka pae honua: pili ka nui o ka hoʻouna ʻana me nā haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa a me ka haʻahaʻa.

A laila nānā ka hui i ka ulu ʻana o kēia hui ma waena o ke aniau a me nā maʻi i ka wā lōʻihi, a inā paha ua kūlike ia ma nā ʻāpana ʻāina like ʻole.No kēia, ua hoʻohana lākou i ke ʻano helu helu i kūkulu pono ʻia no ka ʻike ʻana i nā ʻano like ʻole o ka hoʻololi ʻana (ʻo ia hoʻi kahi mea hana ʻike kumu) ma nā puka makani like ʻole o ka manawa.Eia hou, ua ʻike lākou i kahi hui maikaʻi ʻole no nā puka makani pōkole ma waena o nā maʻi (ka nui o nā hihia) a me ke aniau (ka mahana a me ka haʻahaʻa), me nā ʻano like ʻole i ka wā o ka nalu mua, ʻelua, a me ke kolu o ka maʻi maʻi ma nā unahi spatial like ʻole: honua, nā ʻāina. , i lalo i nā wahi pākahi i loko o nā ʻāina i hoʻopilikia nui ʻia (Lombardy, Thüringen, a me Catalonia) a hiki i ka pae kūlanakauhale (Barcelona).

Ua emi nā nalu maʻi maʻi mua i ka piʻi ʻana o ka mahana a me ka haʻahaʻa, a ua piʻi ka nalu ʻelua i ka hāʻule ʻana o ka mahana a me ka haʻahaʻa.Eia naʻe, ua haki kēia ʻano i ka wā kauwela ma nā ʻāina āpau."Hiki ke wehewehe ʻia kēia e nā kumu he nui, ʻo ia hoʻi nā hui lehulehu o ka poʻe ʻōpio, ka mākaʻikaʻi, a me ka ea ea, a me nā mea ʻē aʻe," wehewehe ʻo Alejandro Fontal, ka mea noiʻi ma ISGlobal a me ka mea kākau mua o ka noiʻi.

I ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke kumu hoʻohālike no ka nānā ʻana i nā correlations transient ma nā unahi āpau ma nā ʻāina o ka Hema Hema, kahi i hiki mai ai ka maʻi ma hope, ua ʻike ʻia ka hoʻoponopono like ʻole.Ua ʻike ʻia ka hopena o ke aniau ma nā mahana ma waena o 12oa me 18oC a me nā pae haʻahaʻa ma waena o 4 a me 12 g/m3, ʻoiai ua ʻōlelo ka poʻe kākau e hōʻike mau ana kēia mau pae, no ka loaʻa ʻana o nā moʻolelo pōkole.

ʻO ka mea hope loa, me ka hoʻohana ʻana i kahi hiʻohiʻona epidemiological, ua hōʻike ka hui noiʻi e ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hoʻokomo ʻana i ka mahana i ka wikiwiki o ka hoʻouna ʻana no ka wānana i ka piʻi ʻana a me ka hāʻule ʻana o nā nalu like ʻole, ʻoi aku ka mua a me ke kolu ma ʻEulopa."Ma ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa, kākoʻo kā mākou ʻike i ka ʻike o COVID-19 ma ke ʻano he maʻi haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa maoli, e like me ka maʻi influenza a me nā coronaviruses e ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi," wahi a Rodó.

Hiki i kēia kau ke hāʻawi nui i ka lawe ʻana o SARS-CoV-2, no ka mea, ua hōʻike ʻia nā kūlana haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa e hōʻemi i ka nui o nā aerosol, a ma laila e hoʻonui ai i ka lele ʻana o nā maʻi o ka wā e like me ka influenza."Hoʻopaʻa kēia loulou i ka 'hoʻomaʻemaʻe ea' ma o ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka ea i loko o ka hale no ka mea hiki i nā aerosol ke hoʻomau i ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia no nā manawa lōʻihi," wahi a Rodó, a hōʻike i ka pono e hoʻokomo i nā ʻāpana meteorological i ka loiloi a me ka hoʻolālā ʻana o nā ana mana.

Ma hope o 20 mau makahiki o ka hoʻomohala ʻana, ua hoʻokō ʻo Holtop i ka ʻoihana ʻoihana e "hana i ka mālama ʻana i ka ea i ʻoi aku ka olakino, ʻoluʻolu a me ka mālama ʻana i ka ikehu", a ua hoʻokumu i kahi hoʻolālā ʻoihana hoʻomau i ka wā lōʻihi e pili ana i ka ea hou, ka ea a me nā māla mālama kaiapuni.I ka wā e hiki mai ana, e hoʻomau mākou i ka pili ʻana i ka hana hou a me ka maikaʻi, a hui pū i ka hoʻomohala ʻana i ka ʻoihana.

HOLTOP-HVAC

Hōʻike: "Nā hōʻailona Climatic i nā nalu maʻi maʻi COVID-19 ma waena o nā hemisphere ʻelua" na Alejandro Fontal, Menno J. Bouma, Adrià San-José, Leonardo López, Mercedes Pascual & Xavier Rodó, 21 ʻOkakopa 2021, Nature Computational Science.


Ka manawa hoʻouna: Nov-16-2022

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