HŌʻIKE IKAIKA HE MAʻI KAU ʻO COVID-19 - A PONO MĀKOU I KA "HOʻOMAʻEMAʻE EA"

Ua hāʻawi ʻia kahi noiʻi hou i alakaʻi ʻia e ka Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), kahi ʻoihana i kākoʻo ʻia e ka "la Caixa" Foundation, i nā hōʻike paʻa e pili ana ka COVID-19 i ka maʻi kau i pili i nā mahana haʻahaʻa a me ka makū, e like me ka maʻi influenza kau. Kākoʻo pū nā hopena, i paʻi ʻia ma Nature Computational Science, i ka hāʻawi nui ʻana o ka hoʻoili ʻana o ka SARS-CoV-2 i ka lewa a me ka pono e hoʻololi i nā hana e paipai ai i ka "hoʻomaʻemaʻe ea."

lāʻau pale
lāʻau pale
ʻO kahi nīnau koʻikoʻi e pili ana iā SARS-CoV-2, inā paha e hana ana, a e hana ana paha, e like me ka maʻi kau e like me ka maʻi influenza, a inā paha e laha like ʻia i kēlā me kēia manawa o ka makahiki. Ua hōʻike ʻia kahi haʻawina hoʻohālike kumumanaʻo mua ʻaʻole ke aniau ke kumu o ka laha ʻana o COVID-19, no ka nui o ka poʻe i maʻalahi me ka ʻole o ka pale ʻana i ka maʻi. Eia nō naʻe, ua hōʻike kekahi mau nānā ʻana ua hana ʻia ka laha mua ʻana o COVID-19 ma Kina ma kahi latitu ma waena o 30 a me 50.oN, me nā pae haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa a me nā mahana haʻahaʻa (ma waena o 5oa me 11ʻoC).
"ʻO ka nīnau inā he maʻi kau maoli ka COVID-19 e lilo i mea nui loa, me nā hopena no ka hoʻoholo ʻana i nā hana komo kūpono," wahi a Xavier Rodó, ka luna hoʻokele o ka papahana Climate and Health ma ISGlobal a me ka mea hoʻonohonoho o ke aʻo ʻana. No ka pane ʻana i kēia nīnau, ua kālailai mua ʻo Rodó a me kāna hui i ka pilina o ka mahana a me ka haʻahaʻa i ka wā mua o ka laha ʻana o SARS-CoV-2 ma 162 mau ʻāina ma nā ʻāina ʻelima, ma mua o ka hoʻokō ʻia ʻana o nā loli i ke ʻano kanaka a me nā kulekele olakino lehulehu. Hōʻike nā hopena i kahi pilina maikaʻi ʻole ma waena o ka helu hoʻoili (R0) a me ka mahana a me ka haʻahaʻa ma ka pae honua: ua pili nā helu hoʻoili kiʻekiʻe me nā mahana haʻahaʻa a me ka haʻahaʻa.

A laila ua kālailai ke kime pehea i ulu ai kēia pilina ma waena o ke aniau a me ka maʻi i ka hala ʻana o ka manawa, a inā paha he kūlike ia ma nā pae honua like ʻole. No kēia, ua hoʻohana lākou i kahi ʻano helu i hoʻomohala kūikawā ʻia e ʻike i nā ʻano like o ka loli (ʻo ia hoʻi kahi mea hana ʻike ʻano) ma nā puka makani like ʻole o ka manawa. Eia hou, ua ʻike lākou i kahi pilina maikaʻi ʻole no nā puka makani pōkole ma waena o ka maʻi (ka helu o nā hihia) a me ke aniau (ka mahana a me ka makū), me nā ʻano kūlike i ka wā mua, ka lua, a me ke kolu o nā nalu o ka maʻi ahulau ma nā pae ākea like ʻole: ma ka honua holoʻokoʻa, nā ʻāina, a hiki i nā wahi pākahi i loko o nā ʻāina i hoʻopilikia nui ʻia (Lombardy, Thüringen, a me Catalonia) a hiki i ka pae kūlanakauhale (Barcelona).

Ua emi nā nalu ahulau mua i ka piʻi ʻana o ka mahana a me ka makū, a ua piʻi ka nalu ʻelua i ka emi ʻana o ka mahana a me ka makū. Eia naʻe, ua haki kēia ʻano i ke kauwela ma nā ʻāina āpau. "Hiki ke wehewehe ʻia kēia e kekahi mau kumu, me nā ʻākoakoa nui o ka poʻe ʻōpio, ka mākaʻikaʻi, a me ka ea hoʻoluʻu, a me nā mea ʻē aʻe," wahi a Alejandro Fontal, ka mea noiʻi ma ISGlobal a me ka mea kākau mua o ke aʻo ʻana.

I ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke kumu hoʻohālike e kālailai i nā pilina transient ma nā unahi āpau ma nā ʻāina ma ka Hema Hema, kahi i hōʻea mai ai ka maʻi ma hope, ua ʻike ʻia ka pilina maikaʻi ʻole like. ʻIke nui ʻia nā hopena o ke aniau ma nā mahana ma waena o 12oa me 18oC a me nā pae haʻahaʻa ma waena o 4 a me 12 g/m3, ʻoiai ua ʻōlelo aku nā mea kākau he hōʻailona wale nō kēia mau pae, no ka mea he mau moʻolelo pōkole i loaʻa.

ʻO ka mea hope loa, me ka hoʻohana ʻana i kahi kumu hoʻohālike epidemiological, ua hōʻike ka hui noiʻi e ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hoʻokomo ʻana i ka mahana i loko o ka helu hoʻoili no ka wānana ʻana i ka piʻi ʻana a me ka hāʻule ʻana o nā nalu like ʻole, ʻoiai ʻo ka mua a me ke kolu ma ʻEulopa. "Ma ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa, kākoʻo kā mākou mau ʻike i ka manaʻo o COVID-19 ma ke ʻano he maʻi wela haʻahaʻa maoli o ke kau, e like me ka maʻi influenza a me nā coronaviruses e kahe ana me ka maikaʻi," wahi a Rodó.

Hiki i kēia ʻano kau ke kōkua nui i ka laha ʻana o SARS-CoV-2, ʻoiai ua hōʻike ʻia nā kūlana haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa e hōʻemi i ka nui o nā aerosol, a no laila e hoʻonui ai i ka laha ʻana o nā maʻi kau e like me ka maʻi influenza. "Pono kēia loulou i ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i ka 'hoʻomaʻemaʻe ea' ma o ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka ea o loko no ka mea hiki i nā aerosol ke noho mālie no ka manawa lōʻihi," wahi a Rodó, a hōʻike i ka pono e hoʻokomo i nā ʻano meteorological i ka loiloi a me ka hoʻolālā ʻana i nā hana kaohi.

Ma hope o 20 mau makahiki o ka hoʻomohala ʻana, ua hoʻokō ʻo Holtop i ka misionari ʻoihana o ka "hana ʻana i ka mālama ʻana i ka ea i ʻoi aku ka olakino, ʻoluʻolu a me ka mālama ʻana i ka ikehu", a ua hoʻokumu i kahi hoʻolālā ʻoihana hoʻomau lōʻihi e kālele ana i ka ea hou, ka ea hoʻoluʻu a me nā kahua palekana kaiapuni. I ka wā e hiki mai ana, e hoʻomau mākou i ka pili ʻana i ka hana hou a me ka maikaʻi, a e hoʻokele pū i ka hoʻomohala ʻana o ka ʻoihana.

HOLTOP-HVAC

Hōʻike: "Nā hōʻailona Climatic i nā nalu maʻi maʻi COVID-19 ma waena o nā hemisphere ʻelua" na Alejandro Fontal, Menno J. Bouma, Adrià San-José, Leonardo López, Mercedes Pascual & Xavier Rodó, 21 ʻOkakopa 2021, Nature Computational Science.


Ka manawa hoʻouna: Nov-16-2022

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